BYU vs Utah Volleyball Prediction, Oct. 15
Thursday, Oct. 15, 9:00 p.m. ET. Match page on NCAA.com
BYU
55.2%
Utah
44.8%
- Fair line
- BYU -123, Utah +123
- Neutral floor
- BYU 60.6%
- Ratings
- +2.91 (7th) / +2.55 (13th)
- Logged
- Oct. 15, 12:38 a.m. ET
Set-score odds
Each bar is one exact result, from a BYU sweep to a Utah sweep.
The number
The model barely picks a side here: BYU 55.2%, Utah 44.8%. Turned into a price with no vig, that is -123 on BYU and +123 on Utah. The single most likely result is BYU 3-1 (20.8%), and Utah takes at least one set 85.3% of the time.
Why the model leans BYU
Three inputs set this number, and here they are:
- BYU rating: +2.91, 7th of 348 D1 teams. That beats an average D1 team on a neutral floor 98.6% of the time.
- Utah rating: +2.55, 13th of 348. Against that same average team: 97.5%.
- Home court: 5.3 percentage points for Utah, which is why this is not higher. On a neutral floor, BYU would win 60.6% of the time.
Form check
BYU is 13-1 against D1 opponents with a 40-11 set record (last five: WWWWW). Their strength of schedule ranks 34th. They sit at No. 14 in the AVCA poll. Utah is 12-4 against D1 opponents with a 40-13 set record (last five: WWLWW). Their strength of schedule ranks 36th.
This is their first meeting of the season, so there is no head-to-head in the sample. The model does not need one: every D1 result connects the two teams through common opponents.
Every result above comes from the NCAA.com scoreboard, linked in the tables on this page.
How this goes wrong
Utah wins outright 44.8% of the time, and the match goes the full five sets 37.3% of the time. It is a ratings model, not a scout. It sees set results, opponents and home court, and nothing about injuries, rotations or travel. If you know something it doesn't, adjust from here.
Odds and the fine print
We do not quote sportsbook or prediction-market prices yet, so this page makes no bet call. The fair lines are the model's probability converted to American odds with no vig. This prediction was logged before first serve and gets graded on the results page, win or lose. 21+ only. Outcomes are uncertain, and nothing here is betting advice.
Written automatically by the D1 Picks model from the numbers on this page, logged Oct. 15, 12:38 a.m. ET using ratings as of Oct. 15 (model vb-bt-1). The model and this page template are maintained by the D1 Picks Editorial Team. How we publish without a human edit: editorial policy.
21+ only. These are probabilities, not promises, and D1 Picks takes no bets. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET or read our responsible gambling page.
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