College volleyball predictions
No D1 matches are on the board right now. Every number here was logged before first serve and gets graded on the results page.
Ratings as of Oct. 4, from 2,602 D1 matches. Board updated Oct. 4, 8:38 p.m. ET. Model vb-bt-1.
21+ only. These are probabilities, not promises, and D1 Picks takes no bets. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET or read our responsible gambling page.
Nothing on the board
The next predictions go up the morning of the next match day, up to two days ahead. Meanwhile the ratings show where every team stands.
Played, waiting on a grade
These matches have started. Grades land on the results page after the next update.
- 7:30 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Mercer
our 241st
38% / 62%
38.3%61.7%Samford
our 221st
Most likely Samford 3-1 (23.4%)Fair line +161 Mercer, -161 Samford
- 7:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Chattanooga
our 281st
23% / 77%
22.8%77.2%Tennessee Tech
our 212th
Most likely Tennessee Tech 3-1 (29.1%)Fair line +339 Chattanooga, -339 Tennessee Tech
- 7:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Bradley
our 164th
41% / 59%
41.2%58.8%Illinois St.
our 147th
Most likely Illinois St. 3-1 (22.3%)Fair line +143 Bradley, -143 Illinois St.
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Western Caro.
our 254th
13% / 87%
13.2%86.8%Wofford
our 114th
Most likely Wofford 3-0 (38.0%)Fair line +657 Western Caro., -657 Wofford
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Robert Morris
our 285th
22% / 78%
21.6%78.4%Youngstown St.
our 210th
Most likely Youngstown St. 3-1 (29.4%)Fair line +363 Robert Morris, -363 Youngstown St.
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
High Point
our 69th
48% / 52%
47.8%52.2%Col. of Charleston
our 72nd
Most likely Col. of Charleston 3-1 (19.6%)Fair line +109 High Point, -109 Col. of Charleston
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Austin Peay
our 209th
11% / 89%
11.5%88.5%Eastern Ky.
our 71st
Most likely Eastern Ky. 3-0 (40.5%)Fair line +770 Austin Peay, -770 Eastern Ky.
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Furman
our 200th
88% / 12%
88.3%11.8%The Citadel
our 321st
Most likely Furman 3-0 (40.1%)Fair line -751 Furman, +751 The Citadel
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Bryant
our 294th
39% / 61%
39.4%60.6%Holy Cross
our 283rd
Most likely Holy Cross 3-1 (22.9%)Fair line +153 Bryant, -153 Holy Cross
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
UNC Greensboro
our 173rd
54% / 46%
53.8%46.2%ETSU
our 208th
Most likely UNC Greensboro 3-1 (20.3%)Fair line -116 UNC Greensboro, +116 ETSU
- 6:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Miami (OH)
our 156th
14% / 86%
14.3%85.7%Ball St.
our 52nd
Most likely Ball St. 3-0 (36.6%)Fair line +599 Miami (OH), -599 Ball St.
- 5:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
Duquesne
our 124th
18% / 82%
17.6%82.4%Dayton
our 43rd
Most likely Dayton 3-0 (32.9%)Fair line +468 Duquesne, -468 Dayton
- 5:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
VCU
our 215th
36% / 64%
35.7%64.3%Davidson
our 181st
Most likely Davidson 3-1 (24.4%)Fair line +180 VCU, -180 Davidson
- 7:00 p.m. ETMatch on NCAA.com
ULM
our 280th
95% / 5%
94.7%5.3%Ark.-Pine Bluff
our 343rd
Most likely ULM 3-0 (52.5%)Fair line -1790 ULM, +1790 Ark.-Pine Bluff
Match previews
No match on the board clears the bar for a full preview yet. Previews go up for matchups between two AVCA-ranked teams, two of our top 40, matchups people search for and the NCAA tournament, at most five a day. The methodology explains the rule.
Questions about these predictions
How are these volleyball predictions made?
From a Bradley-Terry rating model fit to every D1 versus D1 set played this season, with a home-court term, then calibrated against the model's own out-of-sample record. The methodology page has the full math and the backtest.
What is a fair line?
Our win probability converted to American odds with no bookmaker margin added. It shows what the probability is worth as a price. It is not a bet recommendation.
Do you make betting picks?
Not yet. We publish probabilities, set-score odds and fair lines, but we quote no sportsbook or prediction-market prices, so no match carries a bet call.
Do the predictions change before a match?
No. Each match is predicted once, up to two days before first serve, and that number is the one we grade on the results page, win or lose.
Is betting on college volleyball legal?
Sports betting is legal only in some states, and some states restrict college markets. Check your state's law. D1 Picks is for adults 21 and over and takes no bets.