Kansas vs TCU Volleyball Prediction, Oct. 23
Friday, Oct. 23, 8:00 p.m. ET. Match page on NCAA.com
Kansas
48.7%
TCU
51.3%
- Neutral floor
- TCU 46.2%
- Ratings
- +2.40 (16th) / +2.27 (20th)
- Logged
- Oct. 21, 11:15 a.m. ET
Set-score odds
Each bar is one exact result, from a Kansas sweep to a TCU sweep.
The number
Call this one close to a coin flip with a lean. TCU wins 51.3% of the time in our model and Kansas wins the other 48.7%. The single most likely result is TCU 3-1 (19.3%), and Kansas takes at least one set 87.0% of the time.
Why the model leans TCU
The whole forecast comes from three inputs:
- TCU rating: +2.27, 20th of 348 D1 teams. That beats an average D1 team on a neutral floor 96.1% of the time.
- Kansas rating: +2.40, 16th of 348. Against that same average team: 96.8%.
- Home court: 5.1 percentage points for TCU. On a neutral floor, TCU would win 46.2% of the time.
Form check
TCU is 15-4 against D1 opponents with a 45-21 set record (last five: WWLWL). Their strength of schedule ranks 19th. They sit at No. 13 in the AVCA poll. Kansas is 12-5 against D1 opponents with a 42-17 set record (last five: WLWWL). Their strength of schedule ranks 26th. They sit at No. 17 in the AVCA poll.
This is their first meeting of the season, so there is no head-to-head in the sample. The model does not need one: every D1 result connects the two teams through common opponents.
Every result above comes from the NCAA.com scoreboard, linked in the tables on this page.
How this goes wrong
Kansas wins outright 48.7% of the time, and the match goes the full five sets 37.5% of the time. It is a ratings model, not a scout. It sees set results, opponents and home court, and nothing about injuries, rotations or travel. If you know something it doesn't, adjust from here.
Odds and the fine print
We do not quote sportsbook or prediction-market prices yet, so this page makes no bet call. This prediction was logged before first serve and gets graded on the results page, win or lose. 21+ only. Outcomes are uncertain, and nothing here is betting advice.
Written automatically by the D1 Picks model from the numbers on this page, logged Oct. 21, 11:15 a.m. ET using ratings as of Oct. 21 (model vb-bt-1). The model and this page template are maintained by the D1 Picks Editorial Team. How we publish without a human edit: editorial policy.
21+ only. These are probabilities, not promises, and D1 Picks takes no bets. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET or read our responsible gambling page.
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