Indiana vs Washington Volleyball Prediction, Oct. 18

The number

Washington is the favorite at 62.8%, which leaves Indiana a live 37.2%. Turned into a price with no vig, that is -169 on Washington and +169 on Indiana. The single most likely result is Washington 3-1 (23.8%), and Indiana takes at least one set 81.6% of the time.

Why the model leans Washington

Three inputs set this number, and here they are:

• Washington rating: +2.32, 20th of 348 D1 teams. That beats an average D1 team on a neutral floor 96.3% of the time.
• Indiana rating: +2.06, 25th of 348. Against that same average team: 94.4%.
• Home court: 5.1 percentage points for Washington. On a neutral floor, Washington would win 57.7% of the time.

Form check

Washington is 13-2 against D1 opponents with a 39-14 set record (last five: WLWWL). Their strength of schedule ranks 28th. They sit at No. 20 in the AVCA poll. Indiana is 10-5 against D1 opponents with a 32-22 set record (last five: WLWLL). Their strength of schedule ranks 7th. They sit at No. 18 in the AVCA poll.

This is their first meeting of the season, so there is no head-to-head in the sample. The model does not need one: every D1 result connects the two teams through common opponents.

Every result above comes from the NCAA.com scoreboard, linked in the tables on this page.

How this goes wrong

Indiana wins outright 37.2% of the time, and the match goes the full five sets 36.1% of the time. It is a ratings model, not a scout. It sees set results, opponents and home court, and nothing about injuries, rotations or travel. If you know something it doesn't, adjust from here.

Odds and the fine print

We do not quote sportsbook or prediction-market prices yet, so this page makes no bet call. The fair lines are the model's probability converted to American odds with no vig. This prediction was logged before first serve and gets graded on the results page, win or lose. 21+ only. Outcomes are uncertain, and nothing here is betting advice.